CASHEW MARKET REPORT WEEK 40 (5/10-10/10/2026)
*ENGLISH VERSION
1. OVERVIEW OF THE VIETNAMESE AND INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
General Trends
Vietnam: The cashew kernel market continues to strengthen, with buyers showing interest in delivery contracts through Q1/2027. Demand is concentrated on standard whole kernels, particularly WW320 and WW240, to meet demand at the end of 2026 and the beginning of 2027.
Vietnamese Cashew Kernel Transaction Prices (FOB)
Reported FOB offer prices are as follows:
- W180: 4.50–4.60 USD/lb
- W210: 4.10–4.40 USD/lb
- W240: 3.50–3.60 USD/lb
- W320: 3.10–3.35 USD/lb
- SW/LBW320: 2.85–3.00 USD/lb
- WS: 2.65–2.75 USD/lb
- LP: 2.00–2.20 USD/lb
- SP: 1.40–1.60 USD/lb
Supply and Demand Trends
- Buyers remain cautious when offered higher prices, although buying inquiries are increasing.
- Importers in North America, Europe and East Asia, particularly China, typically increase purchases in late September/early October to prepare inventory for the year-end and early-Q1 consumption cycle.
- Demand is heavily concentrated on WW320 and WW240, in line with the Christmas, New Year and Lunar New Year consumption seasons.
2. RAW CASHEW NUT (RCN) MARKET
RCN Prices Remain Firm
RCN trading activity in Vietnam remains slow, with buyers maintaining a cautious stance. Nevertheless, a small number of transactions were recorded. The report notes transactions around IVC 42/190/1,400 and IVC 44/190/1,510.
Regarding new supply, Tanzania is preparing to enter auction sessions from 12 October, with expected output of more than 500,000 tonnes; dry conditions in the south are favorable for harvesting and drying. Mozambique is also preparing to establish a reference RCN price for the 2026/27 crop.
Reference RCN Prices, CNF Vietnam
| Origin | Outturn/Nut count | CNF HCM Price |
| IVC | 42/210 | 1,410 USD/tonne |
| IVC | 44/190 | 1,505 USD/tonne |
| IVC | 41/190 | 1,375 USD/tonne |
| Mozambique | 46/195 | 1,590 USD/tonne |
3. INTERNATIONAL CASHEW KERNEL PRICES
Reference FOB Prices
| Grade | Vietnam | Africa |
| W240 | 3.55 | 3.73 |
| W320 | 3.22 | 3.48 |
| WS | 2.70 | 2.73 |
| LP | 2.10 | 2.33 |
4. SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK
- Vietnamese cashew kernels: the trend remains firm with a slight increase, as buyers step up sourcing for demand through Q1/2027; the focus remains on WW320 and WW240. However, buyers are still reluctant to accept higher prices.
- International demand: entering the purchasing period for the year-end and New Year consumption seasons in North America, Europe and East Asia, thereby supporting demand for standard whole kernels.
- RCN: Tanzania is preparing to bring new-crop supply to the market through auction sessions starting 12 October; Mozambique is preparing to establish a reference price for the 2026/27 crop.
Source Compilation
Disclaimer: This bulletin is provided for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or trading advice. The data, assessments, and forecasts have been compiled from sources considered reliable at the time of publication; however, no absolute guarantee is made regarding their accuracy, completeness, or timeliness. The issuing party shall not be held responsible for any losses arising from the use of the information contained in this bulletin. Readers are advised to carefully consider the information and consult with qualified experts before making any decisions.
*CHINESE VERSION
1. 越南及国际市场概况
总体趋势
越南:腰果仁市场价格继续走强,买家关注交付至2027年第一季度的合同。需求主要集中在标准整仁,尤其是WW320和WW240,以满足2026年年底及2027年初的需求。
越南腰果仁交易价格(FOB)
报告的FOB报价如下:
- W180:4.50–4.60 USD/lb
- W210:4.10–4.40 USD/lb
- W240:3.50–3.60 USD/lb
- W320:3.10–3.35 USD/lb
- SW/LBW320:2.85–3.00 USD/lb
- WS:2.65–2.75 USD/lb
- LP:2.00–2.20 USD/lb
- SP:1.40–1.60 USD/lb
供需趋势
- 尽管询盘量有所增加,买家在面对更高报价时仍保持谨慎。
- 北美、欧洲和东亚的进口商,尤其是中国进口商,通常在9月底至10月初增加采购,以为年底及第一季度初的消费周期备货。
- 需求主要集中在WW320和WW240,对应圣诞节、新年及农历新年的消费季。
2. 腰果原料(RCN)市场
RCN价格保持坚挺
越南RCN交易活动仍然缓慢,买家保持谨慎态度。不过,市场仍记录到少量交易。报告提及交易价格约为IVC 42/190/1,400和IVC 44/190/1,510。
关于新供应,坦桑尼亚准备自10月12日起进入拍卖阶段,预计产量超过50万吨;南部干燥天气有利于收获和晾晒。莫桑比克也准备为2026/27年度RCN建立参考价格。
越南RCN参考价格(CNF)
| 来源 | 出仁率/粒数 | 胡志明市CNF价格 |
| IVC | 42/210 | 1,410 美元/吨 |
| IVC | 44/190 | 1,505 美元/吨 |
| IVC | 41/190 | 1,375 美元/吨 |
| 莫桑比克 | 46/195 | 1,590 美元/吨 |
3. 国际腰果仁价格
FOB参考价格
| 等级 | 越南 | 非洲 |
| W240 | 3.55 | 3.73 |
| W320 | 3.22 | 3.48 |
| WS | 2.70 | 2.73 |
| LP | 2.10 | 2.33 |
4. 短期展望
- 越南腰果仁:由于买家加大采购力度,以满足截至2027年第一季度的需求,市场走势仍然坚挺并小幅上涨;重点仍是WW320和WW240。不过,买家仍不易接受更高价格。
- 国际需求:北美、欧洲和东亚进入为年底及新年消费季备货的采购阶段,从而支撑对标准整仁的需求。
- RCN:坦桑尼亚准备通过自10月12日起举行的拍卖会将新季供应推向市场;莫桑比克准备为2026/27年度建立参考价格。
信息来源汇总
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